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There was a time when the thought of GLS sites getting no bids was unthinkable; and if there weren’t sufficient sites, the en-bloc market would be roaring. But recent events show just how much things have changed, from the 2017 era when land-starved developers saw every parcel as solid gold. As of today, the government has had to due to developer disinterest; and the demand hasn’t changed despite the availability of prime sites: The list of GLS sites has dipped from 5,450 potential new units in H1, to around 5,050 units in H2; and we may see further cuts in the year ahead. This is the first time since around 2021 that we’ve seen the supply of GLS sites dip (although it really isn’t by much at 7 per cent). Even with the reduction though, we’re looking at a totally new supply of 11,110 new homes for 2024, which is the highest single-year amount since the last property peak in 2013. Do note that, back when the government surged land supply in 2013, it was also partly to cool real estate prices; so we may be seeing a similar play here. The difference is that even with heightened supply back in 2013, developers were still buying. Prices did drop in subsequent years, but it was rare for sites to gather completely zero interest, as we saw with (the first in 20 years); or for bids to be so low that the parcel remained unsold, as we saw with .   These are the current sites on the confirmed list: The EC site at Tampines Street 95 will probably be a main point of interest, as ECs have long proven to be easy sales – this is especially true in 2024, when fully private, new launch prices are pushing $2,200+ psf, which may push a bigger chunk of HDB upgraders toward EC options.  Bayshore, Chuan Grove, and Faber Walk may also retain interest. Bayshore because its MRT station is already up and will be home to the first Plus model flats. HDB seldom allows its pilot projects to go unsupported, and there’s a lot of developer confidence in what will be the . Faber Walk has good access to the One-North tech and media hub, and is part of aggressive efforts to transform this area into a live-work-play hub; and it also provides good access to the traditional hotspot of Tampines. Meanwhile, Chuan Grove may see further interest depending on the outcome of the soon-to-be-launched , which now also has the Lorong Chuan MRT nearby.  The other following sites are on the reserve list. These sites are only activated when developers express sufficient interest, with a minimum tender.  Given the current lacklustre responses, it’s quite possible that only the EC site (Woodlands Drive 17) might draw any attention right now. Besides these, there are two other white sites, which are loosely speaking a kind of mixed-use area: Marina Gardens Crescent, as we mentioned above, failed to draw a sufficiently high bid. The two white sites are expected to be in low demand right now, due to factors such as their size, price point, and end-buyer demographics. What does the developer’s response tell us about the direction of the market? Developers are sticking to land parcels for mid-sized condos, which are considered to be in the 500 to 600-unit range. This is because of the ABSD deadline, which requires developers to complete and sell their projects within five years; failure to do so results in losing a hefty percentage of the land price.  Given the growing resistance to new launch prices, rising interest rates, and weak economic outlook, there isn’t much confidence in selling large projects on time.  The other issue is the ABSD rates placed on (i.e., those buying multiple properties). Whilst the average, single-home Singaporean isn’t impacted by this, the demographic that buys in prime areas like Orchard is a different batch: prime area luxury condos depend more on wealthy foreign buyers or investors. As such, demand for these areas is more adversely impacted by stamp duties. This accounts for the poor showing of the Marina Gardens Crescent site. The Upper Thomson site, which drew no interest, was hamstrung by the requirement for SA2 units – these are long-stay serviced apartments, which require leases of up to three months. This spooked developers, who were uncertain how consumers would react; a key concern was the difficulty faced in renting out regular units in the same development. No private landlord wants to find themselves in competition with a serviced apartment company, and vice versa.  The location of the site was good though, where connectivity is concerned, and were we in different times (i.e., better economic outlook, and lower risk posed by ABSD rates), some developers may have given it a shot. But we can see that the high stamp duties and uncertain economy are causing a rejection of such novel attempts for now. We can’t really blame them, as we do think now is the wrong timing as well. A weaker economy will also impact the demand for long-stay serviced apartments (e.g., during recessions, companies often reduce overhead by shrinking the number of expats they bring in).  If GLS sites are not doing well, en-bloc sites may fare even worse. Keep in mind that between the two, developers tend to favour GLS sites (this is with regard to major developers, not smaller ones building boutique projects).  If they’re not even interested in bidding for government land, they’re even less likely to offer the high sale proceeds that individual homeowners will demand – and they demand it, given the high cost of replacement properties today.  Those who were hoping for en-bloc sales may be better off trying to just sell their own units for now, as the market situation doesn’t seem likely to change anytime soon.  For more on the Singapore property market, follow us on . You can also check out our reviews of new and resale properties alike. If you’d like to get in touch for a more in-depth consultation, you can do so .